President Obama, his campaign and the lapdog media (pardon the redundancy) have been working really hard to perpetuate a meme that the dreaded, evil super-PACs are going to buy the election for Romney.
Most of the media coverage of the 2012 campaign treats a Republican advantage in super-PAC spending as a given. This assumption is echoed by increasingly dire comments from President Obama, his advisers, and other Democrats.
At a New York City fundraiser last month, President Obama lamented that opposition to his reelection bid will be fueled by “$500 million in super-PAC negative ads that are going to be run over the course of the next five months that will try to feed on those fears and those anxieties and that frustration.”
“We put out a fund-raising letter because we’re facing about a billion dollars of super-PAC spending,” Obama’s chief strategist, David Axelrod, told CNN. He has also referred to “the Rove and Koch brothers contract killers over there in super-PAC land.”
“With every passing week, Democratic insiders are becoming more and more panicked that, by November, their Republican opponents will have buried them under a mountain of money,” reports The New Republic. “The GOP money machine — that is, American Crossroads, the super PAC co-founded by Karl Rove; Americans for Prosperity, the group backed by the billionaire Koch brothers; and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce — has vowed to spend $1 billion combined before Election Day.”
The gap between the President's rhetoric and reality is (again) a Grand Canyon like chasm.
Yesterday's New York Times delivers the latest dose of bad news for the President's re-election committee.
In the four years since President Obama swept into office in large part with the support of a vast army of young people, a new corps of men and women have come of voting age with views shaped largely by the recession. And unlike their counterparts in the millennial generation who showed high levels of enthusiasm for Mr. Obama at this point in 2008, the nation’s first-time voters are less enthusiastic about him, are significantly more likely to identify as conservative and cite a growing lack of faith in government in general, according to interviews, experts and recent polls.
This does not automatically mean that they are run out to vote for Romney....
Among all 18- to 29-year-olds, the poll found a high level of undecided voters; 30 percent indicated that they had not yet made up their mind. And turnout among this group is expected to be significantly lower than for older voters.
The reaction to the Supreme Courts ruling on ObamaCare has been fast and (in many cases) furious.
Traitor! Turncoat! Benedict Arnold!
Those contemptuous epithets and more were hurled by Republicans and conservatives at Supreme Court Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. moments after he single-handedly saved Obamacare, joining liberals on the bench to break a 4-4 tie.
The Supreme Court has abandoned us,” Texas Gov. Rick Perry declared. “Simply disappointing,” Florida Gov. Rick Scott moaned. “Activist court,” Rep. Michele Bachmann cried.
Even Ari Fleischer, the former spokesman for George W. Bush, who appointed Chief Justice Roberts to the court, joined in. “I miss Justice Harriet Miers,” he whined.
But some cooler heads are seeing the big picture that Chief Justice Roberts painted, by siding with the majority.
But they all miss the point, and, more, by looking purely at the political, miss the forest for the trees.
I have not commented much on the "Fast & Furious" scandal in large part because there is still so much that is unknown. However, yesterdays news that Utah's only Democrat, Jim Matheson, is siding with the GOP on vote to hold AG Holder in contempt is telling.
Matheson, D-Utah, announced his position Tuesday, joining House Republicans, such as Utah Reps. Rob Bishop and Jason Chaffetz, who have railed against Holder’s reaction to the congressional probe into the Justice Department’s "Fast and Furious" operation. One of the lost guns was later used in the murder of U.S. Border Patrol agent Brian Terry.
"It just compounds the tragedy when both sides play politics instead of releasing the facts. The Terry family, the public and Congress deserve answers," Matheson said. "Sadly, it seems that it will take holding the attorney general in contempt to communicate that evasiveness is unacceptable."
The first thing this tells you is that AG Holder has not been as forthcoming as the Administrations defenders love to try to claim. When members of your own party say that you are hiding information from Congress - as my friend Ed Morrissey points out.
Our friends on the left love to rail against the GOP calling it a party of extremists, while waxing poetic for the days when the GOP would just roll over and give the Dems everything that they wanted. The bemoan the "fact" that even the exalted Ronald Wilson Reagan would be too moderate for this Republican Party. However, like many Democratic memes, there's a whole lot of projection goin' on. Steven Hayward, writing at the Weekly Standard, took a look at some New Deal stalwarts and comes to the conclusion that....
Rather than try to make Reagan out as too moderate for an extreme party, the decriers of “extremism” ought to give a hard look at Democratic presidents who couldn’t get the nomination of today’s Democratic party, starting with one who actually didn’t get it: Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968. Despite delivering the most substantial liberal reforms since the New Deal (the Civil Rights and Voting Rights Acts, Medicare, the War on Poverty, etc.), LBJ was on his way to losing renomination when he withdrew. As Daniel Patrick Moynihan memorably put it, Johnson “was the first American president to be toppled by a mob. No matter that it was a mob of college professors, millionaires, flower children, and Radcliffe girls”—in other words, what Democrats today call “the base.”...
On Monday, it was announced that West Virginia's top 3 Democrats, US Senator Joe Manchin, Gov. Earl Ray Tomblin and U.S. Rep. Nick Rahall are not going to be attending next Septembers DNC convention.
West Virginia’s top three Democrats will not attend their party’s national convention in September, the West Virginia Democratic Party said Monday.
U.S. Sen. Joe Manchin, Gov. Earl Ray Tomblin and U.S. Rep. Nick Rahall do not plan to help pick President Barack Obama as their party’s nominee.
Each man is a super-delegate to the national nominating convention by virtue of their elected office.
Then the next day, Congressman Murtha's replacement, Mark Critz, announced that he was skipping the convention.
Kevin McCullough (writing over at TownHall.com) has a post up that echo remarks I have made to friends regarding this falls election.
Republicans will be wanting to 'recount Illinois,' I said to a seemingly annoyed former Kerry staffer and Obama supporter in the Fox News green room on Friday.
"How do you figure?" came the response.
I said, "It's pretty simple. If Obama doesn't change his message (amongst other things), this isn't even gonna be close."
I almost felt sorry for him, as he nodded his head in agreement, and walked away.
Now the normal caveats apply here, as Kevin also notes.
This story has been around for a couple of days now and up to now, every time I try to write on it, I'm just not sure what to think about it.
Utah Sen. Orrin Hatch did so many favors for Raser Technologies, a green technology company in his state, that the company named its geothermal power plant "The Hatch Plant." His role turned out eerily reminiscent of President Obama's support for the failed solar-panel maker Solyndra. The Hatch Plant is now shuttered, and Raser Technologies has gone bankrupt.
Hatch's Solyndra hurts Republicans in general because it highlights the hypocrisy of GOP attacks on Obama's "picking winners and losers" and "crony capitalism." But Raser's collapse also hurts Hatch specifically as he faces a primary challenge from conservative Dan Liljenquist, a former state senator.
I'd tell you I was shocked to see this out of the "oh so tolerants" on the left, but after living here for four years, I'd be lying.
Americans' aversion to voting for Mormons has spiked since Mitt Romney's first presidential bid in 2007 — and that the people most wary of Mormon candidates are not Evangelicals, but rather political liberals and non-religious voters, according to new research from a leading scholar of anti-Mormon attitudes.
I mean all you need to do is spend 5 weeks in this state to see how liberals hate the predominant religious culture in this valley.
According to the paper, concern about Mormonism has remained relatively stable among Evangelicals, with 36 percent expressing aversion to an LDS candidate in 2007 and 33 percent doing so in 2012. But among non-religious voters, that number shot up 20 points in the past five years, from 21 percent in 2007 to 41 percent in February. There were also substantial increases in Mormon-averse voters among liberals — 28 percent in 2007 and 43 percent in 2012 — as well as moderates, who went from 22 percent in 2007 to 32 percent this year.
Jennifer Rubin, writing at the Washington Post, has an interesting take on last Friday's Presidential press conference.
The president’s news conference belly-flop Friday was a killer on two levels. Obviously, the private sector is not doing fine, as Obama admitted later in the day when he tried to walk back the remark. (But if it’s not doing fine is he to blame? No! That’s 2E and 2F.) But the rest of his message — that it’s good to keep growing the public sector — won’t be walked back. That is what he believes and why his comments, coupled with Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker’s victory in last week’s recall election, spell big trouble for him.
The Wall Street Journal editorial board explained:
There is just a hint of desperation coming from many Obama supporters already this election cycle. There have been stories in more traditional conservative leaning media, but this column from normally reliable progressive Eleanor Clift is one of the most compelling looks into just how demoralized Obama's base is becoming.
If the next five months are anything like the last two, Barack Obama is toast. That’s what many Democrats are saying privately, and it’s not about Wisconsin.
The effort to recall Scott Walker failed, but exit polls show the president holding an edge in the state, which hasn’t voted Republican since 1984.
The same exit polls that showed that the Walker - Barrett race (which Walker won by 6 points) was a dead heat? THOSE flawed exit polls?
It’s the weak job numbers from last week that has Democrats panicking. There’s a sense that the economy has stalled, and that the Obama campaign is stuck in a time warp with a message that assumes steady if slow progress, when the jobs picture may not get better.
“Our real concern is that they’re just sleepwalking,” says a Democratic strategist, who did not want to be quoted by name criticizing the Obama campaign. His fear, echoed by many, is that Obama’s responses to the dire economic conditions fall far short of the bold leadership needed.
The President's comments last Friday (in light of a jobs report that showed that the private sector only created 86,000 jobs in May) that the "private sector is just fine" do certainly bolster that perception.
The latest gimmick rolled out by the White House, a To-Do list aimed at Congress that fits on a Post-it note, is emblematic of what’s missing. “A To-Do list is for little things, like picking up the dry cleaning; you don’t put "schedule your son’s MRI" or “buy a new house” on the list,” says this frustrated Democrat.
When your own team calls it a gimmick, you know you have reached a really low point,
Hand-wringing is a common malady during presidential campaigns, and Obama has a history of hanging back, listening to his own internal clock, and then acting just when others think all is lost. Campaigns have a rhythm, but the worry among Democrats is that the Obama team is so focused on disparaging Mitt Romney that they haven’t laid out in a clear and compelling way what Obama would do in a second term. “If all Romney has to say is, 'I’ll do better,’ Obama will lose,” says Sam Popkin, a professor of political science at the University of California, San Diego, and author of The Candidate: What it Takes to Win—and Hold—the White House.
And given the (so far) the nimble reactions of the Romney Rapid Response Team (who wrote the remarks into the former Governors speech in Iowa later Friday morning) and the RNC (who had a web ad up in a matter of hours) it is clear that the Romney campaign is (so far) ready to do battle.
People still quote the phrase from the Clinton ’92 war room, “It's the economy, stupid.” (And the Reagan corollary "Are you better off today than you were 4 years ago? ed) Another phrase written on the blackboard by then-strategist James Carville is equally relevant today, “Change vs. more of the same.”
“The man who campaigned in ’08 on hope and change is now, whether he likes it or not, more of the same—and he has to make more of the same look better,” says Popkin. The American Jobs Act that Obama introduced earlier this year is languishing in Congress with no apparent hope of passage. “He has never said what his next three steps are. People have to have confidence he has a plan, and he hasn’t told us.”
In a fast-moving race, an incumbent’s presidential campaign is the battleship, resistant to change, and slow-moving. A successful challenger is a speedboat, nimble and opportunistic. A strategist with ties to the White House says the Obama team is “very wary of making promises he can’t keep like they did the last time.” If Obama wins a second term, there’s a strong likelihood of another unbelievably dysfunctional Congress, and he’ll have to fight rear-guard actions on health care.
Still, Democrats say he should just articulate his vision. Leadership isn’t only about what you accomplish, but how much people understand what you’re trying to get done. “Think back to 1936 and FDR,” says Bill Galston of the Brookings Institution. “The fact they had thwarted him at every turn didn’t matter because people understood where he was coming from.”
Geoff Garin, a pollster with the pro-Obama PAC Priorities USA, acknowledges the problem. “People feel dealt out of the process. His unique talent as a politician is to deal people in—he needs to have an economic message that makes people feel he can make a difference,” Garin says. The message is More To Come—Don’t Panic Yet, it’s only June.
Which is something that President Obama simply has not been able to do. Oh sure - he can speak in platitudes better than anyone, but platitudes do not constitute a vision or a plan to make the vision reality. That is where President Obama is losing the race, and he does not have a lot of time to change course.
Maybe they’re retooling the ship in Chicago and Obama will tailor his message to changed circumstances. Saying he has the right policies and needs more time worked when the economy was generating more jobs. Complacency is the enemy, not Romney.
This campaign is going to be fast paced and nasty. We all know that Team Obama can throw a punch. We are starting to now see that unlike John McCain, Mitt Romney can and will hit back. President Obama is not used to that and that is one reason why the campaign appears to be spinning it's wheels. And THAT is what has the President's supporters, like Ms. Clift, panicked the most...the seeming complacency of Team Obama. Their messiah has feet of clay and they are just now realizing it.
The Minneapolis Star Tribune is still one of my MANY morning news reads. The headline in today's politics newsletter (Morning Dish) reminded me that the more life changes, the more some things - like the editorial cluelessnss of the Strib editorial board - stay comfortably the same.
North Dakota voters are voting today on an amendment to kill local property taxes. The measure is expected to fail as there is little bi-partisan institutional support of the measure. That doesn't stop the Star Trib editorial board from engaging in a little day dream.
Banning property taxes would cost North Dakota $812 million in annual revenue -- money used to fund schools and local government, said Cory Fong, North Dakota's tax commissioner. Should voters abolish property taxes, that revenue would likely be replaced by raising North Dakota's sales taxes, Fong said Monday.
Final thoughts on Tuesday's vote back in the old stomping grounds. This video went viral on Wednesday.
"We're not just disappointed, this is the end of democracy. We just got outspent $34 million to $4 million. This was the biggest election in America and I hope he keep me on tonight because this hurts us all. Every single one of you out there in the nation, if you're watching, democracy died tonight...I'm very emotional because we all had invested in this. This was it. If we didn't win tonight, the end of the U.S. as we know it just happened. This is it. We just got outspent $34 million to $4 million. And we don't have any more resource left but the people you see here behind me. And if the people you see here behind me can't get it done tonight, it's done. Democracy's dead,"
First to answer the "we got out spent 7 (or 8 or 9 depending on who you are listening to) to 1" meme, I send you to Karl - a Wisconsin resident posting at Hot Air.
These claims, depending on the phraseology, range from misleading to flatly false, even based on the sources from which the claims are made.
The spending story stems from a release by the liberal Center for Public Integrity, which took based its analysis on data from the Wisconsin Democracy Campaign (ostensibly nonpartisan, but a past recipient of Soros money and the sort of group whose director told CPI the spending was “outrageous and wrong”). However, according to that data, when you combine the spending of the candidates and their supporting groups, the gap shrinks to 2-to-1.
Lost in the fog of recall reporting out of Wisconsin was this news from California - where two bastions of conservatism gutted union rights a la Scott Walker.
Voters in two major California cities overwhelmingly approved cuts to retirement benefits for city workers in what supporters said was a mandate that may lead to similar ballot initiatives in other states and cities buried under mounting pension obligations.
Public employee unions that aggressively fought the measures weren’t able to overcome the simple message supporters used to attract voters in San Diego and San Jose: Pensions for city workers are unaffordable and more generous than many private companies offer. The result is reduced public services in the form of such things as limited hours at public libraries and unfilled potholes.
Like Walker's victory....it was a squeeker.....
- Creating A Crisis
- Hypocrisy Abounds
- Therapy For The Uneducated
- NATO "Tea Party" Violence
- Picking The Change Out Of Students Pockets
- More Details Emerge
- Senator Hide And Seek
- The Details Are Slowly Coming Out
- Affordable Care Act Dollars At Work
- The President's No-Good, Horrible, Very Bad Week
- Oh Those Wacky, Violent Tea-Partirs
- Out Of Touch
- The Focus Group Du Jour