Kevin McCullough (writing over at TownHall.com) has a post up that echo remarks I have made to friends regarding this falls election.
Republicans will be wanting to 'recount Illinois,' I said to a seemingly annoyed former Kerry staffer and Obama supporter in the Fox News green room on Friday.
"How do you figure?" came the response.
I said, "It's pretty simple. If Obama doesn't change his message (amongst other things), this isn't even gonna be close."
I almost felt sorry for him, as he nodded his head in agreement, and walked away.
Now the normal caveats apply here, as Kevin also notes.
This story has been around for a couple of days now and up to now, every time I try to write on it, I'm just not sure what to think about it.
Utah Sen. Orrin Hatch did so many favors for Raser Technologies, a green technology company in his state, that the company named its geothermal power plant "The Hatch Plant." His role turned out eerily reminiscent of President Obama's support for the failed solar-panel maker Solyndra. The Hatch Plant is now shuttered, and Raser Technologies has gone bankrupt.
Hatch's Solyndra hurts Republicans in general because it highlights the hypocrisy of GOP attacks on Obama's "picking winners and losers" and "crony capitalism." But Raser's collapse also hurts Hatch specifically as he faces a primary challenge from conservative Dan Liljenquist, a former state senator.
I'd tell you I was shocked to see this out of the "oh so tolerants" on the left, but after living here for four years, I'd be lying.
Americans' aversion to voting for Mormons has spiked since Mitt Romney's first presidential bid in 2007 — and that the people most wary of Mormon candidates are not Evangelicals, but rather political liberals and non-religious voters, according to new research from a leading scholar of anti-Mormon attitudes.
I mean all you need to do is spend 5 weeks in this state to see how liberals hate the predominant religious culture in this valley.
According to the paper, concern about Mormonism has remained relatively stable among Evangelicals, with 36 percent expressing aversion to an LDS candidate in 2007 and 33 percent doing so in 2012. But among non-religious voters, that number shot up 20 points in the past five years, from 21 percent in 2007 to 41 percent in February. There were also substantial increases in Mormon-averse voters among liberals — 28 percent in 2007 and 43 percent in 2012 — as well as moderates, who went from 22 percent in 2007 to 32 percent this year.
Jennifer Rubin, writing at the Washington Post, has an interesting take on last Friday's Presidential press conference.
The president’s news conference belly-flop Friday was a killer on two levels. Obviously, the private sector is not doing fine, as Obama admitted later in the day when he tried to walk back the remark. (But if it’s not doing fine is he to blame? No! That’s 2E and 2F.) But the rest of his message — that it’s good to keep growing the public sector — won’t be walked back. That is what he believes and why his comments, coupled with Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker’s victory in last week’s recall election, spell big trouble for him.
The Wall Street Journal editorial board explained:
There is just a hint of desperation coming from many Obama supporters already this election cycle. There have been stories in more traditional conservative leaning media, but this column from normally reliable progressive Eleanor Clift is one of the most compelling looks into just how demoralized Obama's base is becoming.
If the next five months are anything like the last two, Barack Obama is toast. That’s what many Democrats are saying privately, and it’s not about Wisconsin.
The effort to recall Scott Walker failed, but exit polls show the president holding an edge in the state, which hasn’t voted Republican since 1984.
The same exit polls that showed that the Walker - Barrett race (which Walker won by 6 points) was a dead heat? THOSE flawed exit polls?
It’s the weak job numbers from last week that has Democrats panicking. There’s a sense that the economy has stalled, and that the Obama campaign is stuck in a time warp with a message that assumes steady if slow progress, when the jobs picture may not get better.
“Our real concern is that they’re just sleepwalking,” says a Democratic strategist, who did not want to be quoted by name criticizing the Obama campaign. His fear, echoed by many, is that Obama’s responses to the dire economic conditions fall far short of the bold leadership needed.
The President's comments last Friday (in light of a jobs report that showed that the private sector only created 86,000 jobs in May) that the "private sector is just fine" do certainly bolster that perception.
The latest gimmick rolled out by the White House, a To-Do list aimed at Congress that fits on a Post-it note, is emblematic of what’s missing. “A To-Do list is for little things, like picking up the dry cleaning; you don’t put "schedule your son’s MRI" or “buy a new house” on the list,” says this frustrated Democrat.
When your own team calls it a gimmick, you know you have reached a really low point,
Hand-wringing is a common malady during presidential campaigns, and Obama has a history of hanging back, listening to his own internal clock, and then acting just when others think all is lost. Campaigns have a rhythm, but the worry among Democrats is that the Obama team is so focused on disparaging Mitt Romney that they haven’t laid out in a clear and compelling way what Obama would do in a second term. “If all Romney has to say is, 'I’ll do better,’ Obama will lose,” says Sam Popkin, a professor of political science at the University of California, San Diego, and author of The Candidate: What it Takes to Win—and Hold—the White House.
And given the (so far) the nimble reactions of the Romney Rapid Response Team (who wrote the remarks into the former Governors speech in Iowa later Friday morning) and the RNC (who had a web ad up in a matter of hours) it is clear that the Romney campaign is (so far) ready to do battle.
People still quote the phrase from the Clinton ’92 war room, “It's the economy, stupid.” (And the Reagan corollary "Are you better off today than you were 4 years ago? ed) Another phrase written on the blackboard by then-strategist James Carville is equally relevant today, “Change vs. more of the same.”
“The man who campaigned in ’08 on hope and change is now, whether he likes it or not, more of the same—and he has to make more of the same look better,” says Popkin. The American Jobs Act that Obama introduced earlier this year is languishing in Congress with no apparent hope of passage. “He has never said what his next three steps are. People have to have confidence he has a plan, and he hasn’t told us.”
In a fast-moving race, an incumbent’s presidential campaign is the battleship, resistant to change, and slow-moving. A successful challenger is a speedboat, nimble and opportunistic. A strategist with ties to the White House says the Obama team is “very wary of making promises he can’t keep like they did the last time.” If Obama wins a second term, there’s a strong likelihood of another unbelievably dysfunctional Congress, and he’ll have to fight rear-guard actions on health care.
Still, Democrats say he should just articulate his vision. Leadership isn’t only about what you accomplish, but how much people understand what you’re trying to get done. “Think back to 1936 and FDR,” says Bill Galston of the Brookings Institution. “The fact they had thwarted him at every turn didn’t matter because people understood where he was coming from.”
Geoff Garin, a pollster with the pro-Obama PAC Priorities USA, acknowledges the problem. “People feel dealt out of the process. His unique talent as a politician is to deal people in—he needs to have an economic message that makes people feel he can make a difference,” Garin says. The message is More To Come—Don’t Panic Yet, it’s only June.
Which is something that President Obama simply has not been able to do. Oh sure - he can speak in platitudes better than anyone, but platitudes do not constitute a vision or a plan to make the vision reality. That is where President Obama is losing the race, and he does not have a lot of time to change course.
Maybe they’re retooling the ship in Chicago and Obama will tailor his message to changed circumstances. Saying he has the right policies and needs more time worked when the economy was generating more jobs. Complacency is the enemy, not Romney.
This campaign is going to be fast paced and nasty. We all know that Team Obama can throw a punch. We are starting to now see that unlike John McCain, Mitt Romney can and will hit back. President Obama is not used to that and that is one reason why the campaign appears to be spinning it's wheels. And THAT is what has the President's supporters, like Ms. Clift, panicked the most...the seeming complacency of Team Obama. Their messiah has feet of clay and they are just now realizing it.
The Minneapolis Star Tribune is still one of my MANY morning news reads. The headline in today's politics newsletter (Morning Dish) reminded me that the more life changes, the more some things - like the editorial cluelessnss of the Strib editorial board - stay comfortably the same.
North Dakota voters are voting today on an amendment to kill local property taxes. The measure is expected to fail as there is little bi-partisan institutional support of the measure. That doesn't stop the Star Trib editorial board from engaging in a little day dream.
Banning property taxes would cost North Dakota $812 million in annual revenue -- money used to fund schools and local government, said Cory Fong, North Dakota's tax commissioner. Should voters abolish property taxes, that revenue would likely be replaced by raising North Dakota's sales taxes, Fong said Monday.
Final thoughts on Tuesday's vote back in the old stomping grounds. This video went viral on Wednesday.
"We're not just disappointed, this is the end of democracy. We just got outspent $34 million to $4 million. This was the biggest election in America and I hope he keep me on tonight because this hurts us all. Every single one of you out there in the nation, if you're watching, democracy died tonight...I'm very emotional because we all had invested in this. This was it. If we didn't win tonight, the end of the U.S. as we know it just happened. This is it. We just got outspent $34 million to $4 million. And we don't have any more resource left but the people you see here behind me. And if the people you see here behind me can't get it done tonight, it's done. Democracy's dead,"
First to answer the "we got out spent 7 (or 8 or 9 depending on who you are listening to) to 1" meme, I send you to Karl - a Wisconsin resident posting at Hot Air.
These claims, depending on the phraseology, range from misleading to flatly false, even based on the sources from which the claims are made.
The spending story stems from a release by the liberal Center for Public Integrity, which took based its analysis on data from the Wisconsin Democracy Campaign (ostensibly nonpartisan, but a past recipient of Soros money and the sort of group whose director told CPI the spending was “outrageous and wrong”). However, according to that data, when you combine the spending of the candidates and their supporting groups, the gap shrinks to 2-to-1.
Lost in the fog of recall reporting out of Wisconsin was this news from California - where two bastions of conservatism gutted union rights a la Scott Walker.
Voters in two major California cities overwhelmingly approved cuts to retirement benefits for city workers in what supporters said was a mandate that may lead to similar ballot initiatives in other states and cities buried under mounting pension obligations.
Public employee unions that aggressively fought the measures weren’t able to overcome the simple message supporters used to attract voters in San Diego and San Jose: Pensions for city workers are unaffordable and more generous than many private companies offer. The result is reduced public services in the form of such things as limited hours at public libraries and unfilled potholes.
Like Walker's victory....it was a squeeker.....
Interspersed in the news about the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Recall election (congratulations on your reaffirmation Gov. Walker) was this little gem....the Paycheck Fairness Act of 2011.
The Paycheck Fairness Act failed to garner the votes it needed to advance in the Senate, Tuesday.
The legislation, championed by President Obama and brought to the floor as a political ploy to paint Republicans (who had previously blocked the legislation in 2010) as anti-woman, needed 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. It failed in a vote of 52-47.
The legislation would have expanded protections for women to compare their salaries to men in the same position, created a grant program for women to improve their negotiation skills and allowed the government to collect salary information for use in enforcing possible pay discrimination.
Senate Republicans and the business community strongly opposed the legislation arguing that such a law would increase the cost of business, opening companies up to frivolous lawsuits.
The bill, which the Democrats claim is all about fairness, failed on a party line vote - leading Democrats back to the "War on Women" meme. There is just one tiny little problem with this bill....IT IS NOT NECESSARY.
The hypocrisy of the Obama Administration knows no bounds. The latest example comes on the heels of the so-called GOP "War on Women". While they were accusing the GOP of taking advantage of us wimmen folk, though they were the ones really taking advantage of women, as Katie Pavlich of Townhall found.
The White House wants to know, do you support equal pay for women?
Did You Know That Women Are Still Paid Less Than Men?
On average, full-time working women earn just 77 cents for every dollar a man earns. This substantial gap is more than a statistic -- it has real life consequences. When women, who make up nearly half the workforce, bring home less money each day, it means they have less for the everyday needs of their families, and over a lifetime of work, far less savings for retirement.
The gender wage gap puts women at a career-long disadvantage
The New York Times is again carrying the Obama Campaign's water, running this piece about Ann Romney's riding.
As Ann Romney immersed herself in the elite world of riding over the last dozen years, she relied on Jan Ebeling as a trusted tutor and horse scout. In her, he found a deep-pocketed patron.
A German-born trainer and top-ranked equestrian, Mr. Ebeling was at ease with the wealthy women drawn to the sport of dressage, in which horses costing up to seven figures execute pirouettes and other dancelike moves for riders wearing tails and top hats.
H/T Jazz Shaw. Now I rode horses as a teen - had two of my own that I showed. I even rode dressage for a few years - so I am very familiar with the discipline. I also know that when you compete at a certain level you are bump into Olympic caliber riders. Heck I even gave one his very first riding lesson many, many years ago. I even took a few lessons from a former Olympic dressage rider - it was a cross discipline study for my horses (jumpers) and I.
Well who could not see this coming a mile away on a cloudy day.....
Sen. Orrin Hatch’s refusal to agree to a television debate is about to become a driving issue in his Republican primary race.
Hatch’s GOP opponent Dan Liljenquist will go up with his first television commercial Tuesday, urging viewers to pressure the six-term senator into agreeing to more debates, according to an advance copy of the spot provided to POLITICO.
“In 1976, he challenged his primary opponent to eight debates. I’ve issued the same challenge to Sen. Hatch,” says Liljenquist, looking straight into the camera in front of a simple white background. “But now he refuses to debate more than once. And he refuses to debate on television entirely.”
The ad is the beginning of a $125,000, two-week buy on broadcast television and Fox News Channel aimed at framing the final month ahead of the June 26 primary.
Well those violent Tea Partiers were back at it...this time in Chicago at the NATO Summit.
It was the middle of the lunch rush Saturday, and Mike Winston was working in the kitchen of his Tinley Park restaurant, the Ashford House, when a waitress screamed a fight had broken out in the dining room.
Police call the melee at the restaurant a targeted assault by a mob that Winston said wielded metal batons and hammers. Ten diners were hurt in the attack, and three of those were hospitalized.
Tinley Park police had five suspected assailants in custody, and Winston said 18 young men, all wearing hooded jackets and obscuring their faces with scarves and other coverings, stormed into the restaurant.
We know that they HAVE to be Tea Partiers because the Tea Partiers ALWAYS protest with their faces covered....like this.
This story has been buzzing around for a couple of days now.
Davis High School has been fined $15,000 after they were caught selling soda pop during lunch hour, which is a violation of federal law.
The federally mandated law prohibits the sale of carbonated beverages after lunch is served. The program is an effort to help fight childhood obesity and to have young students make better food choices.
The mandate allows for carbonated beverages to be sold before lunch, but restricts students from buying lunch, then purchasing carbonated drinks afterward.
“Before lunch you can come and buy a carbonated beverage. You can take it into the cafeteria and eat your lunch, but you can’t first go buy school lunch then come out in the hallway and buy a drink,” said Davis High Principal Dee Burton.
Principal Burton said he does not understand the law with rules that seem to be contradictory.
“We can sell a Snickers bar, but can’t sell licorice. We can’t sell Swedish Fish, we can’t sell Starburst, we can’t sell Skittles, but we can sell ice cream, we can sell the Snickers bar, Milky Ways, all that stuff,” said Burton.
More details from the Trayon Martin autopsy are coming out and again, things are not looking good for the media's initial reporting on the subject....again.
Trayvon Martin had traces of drugs in his system when he was fatally shot earlier this year by George Zimmerman in Sanford, Florida, according to autopsy results released Thursday.
In a 911 call just before the shooting, Zimmerman had speculated that the teen looked like he was "up to no good or he's on drugs or something."
But Martin's defenders have portrayed Zimmerman as the aggressor, accusing him of profiling the African-American teen. Plus, one expert notes the traces of the marijuana-related substance found in the teen's system -- as measured hours after his death -- don't necessarily speak to any level of intoxication, while another adds that marijuana use typically doesn't make people prone to aggression.
I said it before and I will say it again....there is a whole lot more to this story...let's let the judicial system do what it was designed to do it's thing BEFORE we convict anyone....
- Senator Hide And Seek
- The Details Are Slowly Coming Out
- Affordable Care Act Dollars At Work
- The President's No-Good, Horrible, Very Bad Week
- Oh Those Wacky, Violent Tea-Partirs
- Out Of Touch
- The Focus Group Du Jour
- Desperate Measures
- A Lost Generation
- Well Who Would Have Expected This?
- Poor Choice of....
- RIP Levon
- Tax Day Founders Morning Quote